Here's Why Rates Were Flat This Week (And Why That Should Change)

Mortgage rates were flat today.  In fact, they were very close to being flat on the week for that matter!  This is a reflection of the bond markets current set of concerns, which really came into focus late last week with Thursday's Brexit-related news and Friday's trade deal updates.

Brexit refers to the UK's attempts to exit the EU.  As esoteric of a concern as that may seem, it's something that the bond market (and hence, interest rates) quite clearly cares about.  Last Thursday's unexpected progress between Boris Johnson and Northern Ireland's Prime Minister sent rates screaming higher at their fastest pace in months.  I could also argue that much of the damage that seemed to have been done by Friday's US/China trade news was instead follow-through momentum from Thursday's Brexit-inspired move.

Why did that meeting matter so much?  If Northern Ireland and the UK agree on how to do Brexit, the UK gets a "deal" when it breaks from the EU.  The deal would hopefully make things easier on all parties involved and preserve as much of the economic benefit of the existing trade/commerce relationship as possible.  A stronger global economy is bad for interest rates.  It's that simple.  Rates would have continued higher this week if it looked like the newly drafted Brexit deal could garner enough votes to be approved by British parliament, but reports were quick to suggest that's a long shot.

Either way, we'll find out how the UK votes tomorrow and we'll see what the fallout is for mortgage rates on Monday.  It may well be the case that the whole process is delayed for another 2 months and we'll get to open this present again during the holiday season.

This Daily Mortgage Rate Update is provided in partnership with Mortgage News Daily.