Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Sunday, Oct 01
14:00 Sep Federal budget, $ (bl) 6.00 -108
14:00 Sep Federal budget, $ (bl) 6.00 -108
Monday, Oct 02
10:00 Aug Construction spending (%) +0.5 0.4 -0.6
10:00 Sep ISM Manufacturing PMI 60.8 58.0 58.8
10:00 Sep ISM Mfg Prices Paid 71.5 64.0 62
Tuesday, Oct 03
9:45 Sep ISM-New York index 748.6 748.8
15:30 Sep Domestic truck sales (ml) 9.69 8.23 8.32
15:30 Sep Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 18.57 16.90 16.14
15:30 Sep All truck sales (ml) 11.76 10.11
15:30 Sep Domestic car sales (ml) 4.95 4.50 4.36
15:30 Sep All car sales (ml) 6.81 6.03
Wednesday, Oct 04
8:15 Sep ADP National Employment (k) 135.0 125 237
10:00 Sep ISM N-Mfg PMI 59.8 55.5 55.3
10:00 Sep ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 61.3 57.2 57.5
Thursday, Oct 05
7:30 Sep Challenger layoffs (k) 32.346 33.825
8:30 Aug International trade mm $ (bl) -42.4 -42.7 -43.7
10:00 Aug Factory ex-transp mm (% ) +0.4 0.5
10:00 Aug Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) +0.5 0.2
10:00 Aug Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) +1.1 0.9
10:00 Aug Durable goods, R mm (%) +2.0 1.7
10:00 Aug Durables ex-def, R mm (%) +2.5 2.2
10:00 Aug Factory orders mm (%) +1.2 1.0 -3.3
Friday, Oct 06
8:30 Sep Unemployment rate mm (%) 4.2 4.4 4.4
8:30 Sep Private Payrolls (k) -40 83 165
8:30 Sep Non-farm payrolls (k) -33 90 156
8:30 Sep Manufacturing payrolls (k) -1 10 36
8:30 Sep Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.4 34.4 34.4
8:30 Sep Average earnings mm (%) +0.5 0.3 0.1
10:00 Aug Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.9 1.0 1
10:00 Aug Wholesale sales mm (%) 1.7 0.0 -0.1
15:00 Aug Consumer credit (bl) 13.06 16.00 18.5
Monday, Oct 09
10:00 Sep Employment Trends 132.74 134.62
Tuesday, Oct 10
13:00 52-Week Bill Auction (bl) 35
Wednesday, Oct 11
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 405.2 414
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 233.4
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1359.2 1419.2
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.16 4.12
11:30 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 24
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 20
Thursday, Oct 12
8:30 Sep Core Producer Prices YY (%) 2.2 2.0 2
8:30 Sep Producer Prices (%) 0.4 0.4 0.2
8:30 Sep Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.4 0.2 0.1
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 243 245 260
11:00 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -1.48 -2.165 -2.606
11:00 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 2.49 -0.480 1.644
11:00 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -2.747 -1.991 -6.023
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 12
14:00 Sep Federal budget, $ (bl) 6.00 -108
Friday, Oct 13
8:30 Sep Retail Sales (%) 1.6 1.7 -0.2
8:30 Sep CPI yy, nsa (%) 2.2 2.3 1.9
8:30 Sep Core CPI Year/Year (%) 1.7 1.8 1.7
8:30 Sep CPI mm, sa (%) 0.5 0.6 0.4
8:30 Sep Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) 0.1 0.2 0.2
8:30 Sep Real weekly earnings mm (%) -0.1 -0.3 -0.6
10:00 Oct Consumer Sentiment 101.1 95.0 95.1
10:00 Oct 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.4 2.5
10:00 Oct 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.3 2.7
10:00 Aug Business Inventories (% ) 0.7 0.7 0.2
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Oct 16
8:30 Oct NY Fed Manufacturing +30.2 20.70 24.4
Tuesday, Oct 17
8:30 Sep Import prices mm (%) 0.7 0.5 0.6
8:30 Sep Export prices mm (%) 0.8 0.4 0.6
9:15 Sep Capacity Utilization (%) 76.0 76.2 76.1
9:15 Sep Industrial Production (%) +0.3 0.3 -0.9
10:00 Oct NAHB housing market indx 68 64 64
Wednesday, Oct 18
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 419.7 405.2
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 405.2
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1399.6 1359.2
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 242.9 233.2
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.14 4.16
8:30 Sep House starts mm: change (%) -4.7 -0.8
8:30 Sep Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.127 1.175 1.180
8:30 Sep Building permits: number (ml) 1.215 1.250 1.272
8:30 Sep Build permits: change mm (%) -4.5 3.4
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) 0.528 -1.453 -1.480
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 0.908 0.256 2.490
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 2.49
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -5.731 -4.242 -2.747
Thursday, Oct 19
8:30 Oct Philly Fed Business Index 27.9 22.0 23.8
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 222 233 243
10:00 Sep Leading index chg mm (%) -0.2 0.1 0.4
13:00 30-Yr TIPS Auction (bl) 5
Friday, Oct 20
10:00 Sep Existing home sales (ml) 5.39 5.30 5.35
10:00 Sep Exist. home sales % chg (%) -1.7
14:00 Sep Federal budget, $ (bl) 8 6.00 -108.00
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Oct 23
11:30 52-Week Bill Auction (bl) 36
Wednesday, Oct 25
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 242.9
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 405.2
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 419.7
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.14
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.14
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1359.2
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1399.6
8:30 Sep Durable goods (%) 1.0 2.0
8:30 Sep Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.5 1.1
9:00 Aug Monthly Home Price yy (%) 6.3
9:00 Aug Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.2
10:00 Sep New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.555 0.560
10:00 Sep New home sales chg mm (%) -0.9 -3.4
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 0.256 0.908
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -1.453 0.528
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) 0.528
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) 0.528
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -5.731
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -4.242 -5.731
Thursday, Oct 26
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 235 222
10:00 Sep Pending Home Sales (%) 0.2 -2.6
Friday, Oct 27
8:30 Q3 GDP Advance (%) 2.6 3.1
10:00 Oct U Mich 5-Yr Inf Final (%) 2.4
10:00 Oct U Mich 1Yr Inf Final (%) 2.3
10:00 Oct U Mich Sentiment Final (ip) 100.8 101.1

Event Importance:
No Stars = Insignificant   |   Low   |   Moderate   |   Important   |   Very Important