- April Producer Price Index (PPI) +0.5 vs +0.2 forecast, -0.1 in March
- Y/Y PPI +2.5 vs +2.2 forecast
- CORE Y/Y PPI +1.9 vs +1.7 forecast, 1.6% previously
In general, inflation hawks look for a magic "2.0%" number when it comes to year-over-year core inflation, either at the producer or consumer level. So a rise from 1.6 to 1.9 is significant, especially when expectations called for +1.7. That is driving this morning's bond markets weakness as traders couldn't really care less about the 236k vs 245k jobless claims number.
There is no other significant data on tap today, so eyes are on the 30yr auction in the afternoon and the general response to overall bond market supply (including corporate announcements)