- NFP 156k vs 175k forecast, 167k previously
- Labor force participation 62.9 vs 62.8 previously
- Unemployment rate 5.0 vs 4.9 forecast/previous
- Wages +0.2 vs +0.2 forecast, +0.1 previous
Bonds initially picked up a few bps/ticks on these slightly weaker results with 10yr yields falling from 1.758 to 1.736. Fannie 3.0 MBS WERE up from 103-13 lows to 103-16 at the moment. The problem with this data is that, while weaker, it's still reasonably close to consensus. Furthermore, there are no glaring weaknesses in the internal components--especially the wage numbers, which came in as expected.
And wouldn't you know it... bonds just happened to bounce sharply as I typed that last sentence, erasing ALL of the initial post-NFP gains. 10yr yields are quickly up to 1.77 and Fannie 3.0s are down 5 ticks. Game-on for selling pressure.