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Bond Markets Marginally Stronger After ADP Data
  • ADP Payrolls 156k vs 196k forecast, lowest since April 2013
  • Previous month revised to 194k from 200k
  • 10yr yields fall from nearly unchanged opening levels to 1.775 before bouncing
  • Fannie 3.0s up 2 ticks at 102-20

Bond markets had a mostly quiet overnight session without any meaningful threats to the recent range. Oil traded sideways and stocks lost ground during the European session, but the losses were moderate compared to yesterday.

Treasuries made it to the start of domestic trading hours almost perfectly unchanged versus yesterday's closing levels.  The ADP data at 8:15am has been the only market mover so far and was weak enough to register a small response.  

Treasuries fell to the lowest levels in several weeks, but that sounds cooler than it is, considering yesterday's lows could claim the same designation.  This morning's lows are just a small, incremental improvement.  The post-ADP gains have already been partially erased with 10's back up to 1.786.

The morning's biggest potential market mover in terms of economic data is yet to come, with ISM Non-Manufacturing hitting at 10am.  Expectations call for a reading of 54.7 vs 54.5 previously.

MBS / Treasury Market Data

UMBS 5.5
97.51
+0.16
UMBS 6.0
99.44
+0.07
UMBS 6.5
101.07
+0.01
2 YR
4.9747
-0.0041
10 YR
4.6230
+0.0094
Pricing as of: 4/30 3:13AM EST
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