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Bonds Under Pressure as Draghi Disappoints

Sometimes, overnight and early morning market movement is a mystery and other times, it's blatantly obvious.  Today is latter.  It's all about the ECB Announcement and Draghi's press conference (which is ongoing, and posted in the economic calendar.  Click it in the calendar to watch).

The first question at the press conference was just asked by Brian Blackstone (WSJ).  To paraphrase, he said that today's announcement is on the low end of markets' expectations and then simply asked why.

That is exactly what's on markets' minds as well.  The ECB only cut its deposit rate by 0.10 and did not even cut the main lending rate.  Although an expansion of the bond buying program was not as widely as expected as a further rate cut, markets are insulted by the absence of a QE expansion in light of the already insulting tiny rate cut.

For visual evidence, check the reaction in European bond markets compared to US bond markets, which are merely along for the ride.

2015-12-3 Draghi

10yr yields are up 5bps at the moment and Fannie 3.5s are down a quarter point at 103-15.  Draghi's Q&A is ongoing.  Several reporters have asked the same question regarding the ECB's lack of aggression in today's policy changes.

MBS / Treasury Market Data

UMBS 5.5
97.50
+0.42
UMBS 6.0
99.46
+0.40
UMBS 6.5
101.08
+0.34
2 YR
4.9602
-0.0811
10 YR
4.6345
-0.0484
Pricing as of: 5/1 5:04PM EST
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