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MBS Recap: Bonds Sneak Into September Unnoticed

August began with bond yields moving down from 3%, effectively keeping them in a sideways-to-slightly higher trend that arguably dates back to January.  The trend may have taken a break in the spring as yields tested a move over 3.10%, but geopolitical considerations and trade tensions quickly caused traders to rethink it.

2018-8-31 close

At times, the range has been as narrow as 2.82-2.88, which is also true for most of this week, and easily true for today.  With rates operating so persistently in such a narrow range, there's little to do but wait for a breakout.  Otherwise, we'd just be enumerating a litany of bull vs bear arguments for rates and marveling at their serendipitous counterbalance.

I sincerely apologize for that fact that the last sentence read like something out of a vocab book, or a high school term paper where the kid is trying too hard.  I will make it up to you by cutting today's recap short.  Back at it on Tuesday.  happy Labor Day weekend!

This MBS Market Commentary is provided in partnership with MBS Live and provided exclusively to MBS Live Subcribers.