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Bonds Improve After NYSE Open and Consumer Sentiment Data

Bonds were in slightly weaker territory at 9:29am, but began improving immediately following the 9:30am NYSE open.  10yr yields followed stocks closely and were already back into positive territory before the 10am Consumer Sentiment data.  Here's a run-down:

  • Consumer Sentiment
    • 97.8 vs 100.5 forecast, 101.4 previously
    • Current Conditions 115 vs 120 forecast
    • Expectations 86.8 vs 88.1 forecast
    • 1-year inflation expectations 2.7 vs 2.8 previously
    • 5-year inflation expectations 2.4 vs 2.5 previously

Following this data, bonds improved a bit more and stocks sold a bit more.  An uptick in volume suggests that a reaction to the data played a role, but it's not clear whether bonds were reacting to the data itself or to the additional stock selling that followed the data.  The two continue to be highly-correlated this morning.

10yr yields are currently down just over one basis point at 2.832 and Fannie 3.5 MBS are up nearly an eighth of a point at 99-26 (99.81).  

MBS / Treasury Market Data

UMBS 5.0
99.37
+0.02
UMBS 5.5
100.76
+0.02
2 YR
3.9165
+0.0020
10 YR
3.9068
+0.0029
Pricing as of: 9/1 7:34PM EST
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