Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Feb 04
9:45 Jan ISM-New York index 855.1 848.5
10:00 Jan Employment Trends 109.56 111.6
Tuesday, Feb 05
10:00 Jan ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 59.7 59.5 59.9
10:00 Jan ISM N-Mfg PMI 56.7 57.2 57.6
Wednesday, Feb 06
8:30 Nov International trade mm $ (bl) -49.3 -54.0 -55.5
Thursday, Feb 07
15:00 Dec Consumer credit (bl) 16.55 17.00 22.15
Wednesday, Feb 13
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 364.8 378.9
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 237.7 253.1
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1052.4 1053.4
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.65 4.69
8:30 Jan Core CPI Year/Year (%) +2.2 2.1 2.2
8:30 Jan CPI mm, sa (%) 0.0 0.1 -0.1
8:30 Jan CPI yy, nsa (%) +1.6 1.5 1.9
8:30 Jan Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) +0.2 0.2 0.2
8:30 Jan Real weekly earnings mm (%) +0.1 0.3 0.7
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 3.633 2.668 1.263
14:00 Dec Federal budget, $ (bl) -14 -11.00 -205.00
Thursday, Feb 14
8:30 Jan Producer Prices (%) -0.1 0.1 -0.2
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices YY (%) +2.6 2.5 2.7
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices MM (%) +0.3 0.2 -0.1
8:30 Dec Retail Sales (%) -1.2 0.2 0.2
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 239 225 234
10:00 Nov Business Inventories (% ) -0.1 0.3 0.6
Friday, Feb 15
8:30 Jan Export prices mm (%) -0.6 -0.1 -0.6
8:30 Jan Import prices mm (%) -0.5 -0.1 -1.0
8:30 Feb NY Fed Manufacturing 8.8 7.00 3.90
9:15 Jan Capacity Utilization (%) 78.2 78.7 78.7
9:15 Jan Industrial Production (%) -0.6 0.1 0.3
10:00 Feb 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.3 2.6
10:00 Feb Consumer Sentiment 95.5 93.0 91.2
10:00 Feb 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.7
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Feb 19
10:00 Feb NAHB housing market indx 62 59 58
Wednesday, Feb 20
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 365.3 364.8
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 232.7 237.7
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1084.4 1052.4
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.66 4.65
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 18
Thursday, Feb 21
8:30 Feb Philly Fed Business Index -4.1 14.0 17.0
8:30 Dec Durable goods (%) 1.2 1.5 0.7
8:30 Dec Nondefense ex-air (%) -0.7 0.2 -0.6
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 216 220 239
10:00 Jan Exist. home sales % chg (%) -1.2 0.8 -6.4
10:00 Jan Leading index chg mm (%) -0.1 0.1 -0.1
10:00 Jan Existing home sales (ml) 4.94 5.00 4.99
11:00 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 3.672 3.080 3.633
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 8
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Feb 25
10:00 Dec Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.2
10:00 Dec Wholesale sales mm (%) -0.6
Tuesday, Feb 26
8:30 Dec House starts mm: change (%) 3.2
8:30 Dec Build permits: change mm (%) 4.5
8:30 Dec Building permits: number (ml) 1.293 1.322
8:30 Dec Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.255 1.256
9:00 Dec CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) -0.1
9:00 Dec CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 4.5 4.7
9:00 Dec Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.4
9:00 Dec Monthly Home Price yy (%) 5.8
9:00 Dec CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.4 0.3
10:00 Feb Consumer confidence 125.0 120.2
Wednesday, Feb 27
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 232.7
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1084.4
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 365.3
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.66
8:30 Jan Durable goods (%) 0.2 0.7
8:30 Jan Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.2 -0.6
10:00 Jan Pending Sales Index 99.0
10:00 Jan Pending Home Sales (%) -0.4 -2.2
10:00 Dec Factory ex-transp mm (% ) -1.3
10:00 Dec Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) 0.1
10:00 Dec Durables ex-def, R mm (%) 1.8
10:00 Dec Durable goods, R mm (%) 1.2
10:00 Dec Factory orders mm (%) 0.9 -0.6
10:00 Dec Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) -0.7
Thursday, Feb 28
8:30 Q4 GDP Prelim (%) 2.4 3.5
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 220 216
9:45 Feb Chicago PMI 58.2 56.7
Friday, Mar 01
8:30 Dec PCE (y/y) (%) 1.8
8:30 Dec Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.0 0.4
8:30 Jan Personal Income (%) 0.3 0.2
8:30 Dec Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 1.9 1.9
8:30 Dec Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.1 0.1
8:30 Q4 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) 1.7 0.9
8:30 Q4 Productivity Preliminary (%) 1.7 2.2
8:30 Jan Retail Sales (%) 0.1 -1.2
8:30 Jan Durable goods (%) 0.2
8:30 Jan Nondefense ex-air (%)
10:00 Feb ISM Mfg Prices Paid 54.5 49.6
10:00 Feb Consumer Sentiment (ip) 95.6 95.5
10:00 Feb Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) 2.3
10:00 Feb ISM Manufacturing PMI 56.0 56.6
10:00 Feb Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) 2.5
15:30 Feb Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 16.80 16.70
15:30 Feb Domestic car sales (ml) 4.01

Event Importance:
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