Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Sep 30
9:45 Sep Chicago PMI 47.1 50.2 50.4
Tuesday, Oct 01
10:00 Sep ISM Manufacturing PMI 47.8 50.1 49.1
10:00 Aug Construction spending (%) 0.1 0.4 0.1
10:00 Sep ISM Mfg Prices Paid 49.7 48.5 46.0
14:00 Sep Federal budget, $ (bl) -195.00 -200.00
Wednesday, Oct 02
8:15 Sep ADP National Employment (k) 135 140 195
9:45 Sep ISM-New York index 875.4 879.0
Thursday, Oct 03
7:30 Sep Challenger layoffs (k) 41.557 53.480
10:00 Sep ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 55.2 59.0 61.5
10:00 Sep ISM N-Mfg PMI 52.6 55.0 56.4
10:00 Aug Factory orders mm (%) -0.1 -0.2 1.4
Friday, Oct 04
8:30 Sep Manufacturing payrolls (k) -2 4 3
8:30 Sep Non-farm payrolls (k) 136 145 130
8:30 Sep Private Payrolls (k) 114 133 96
8:30 Sep Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.4 34.4 34.4
8:30 Sep Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.5 3.7 3.7
8:30 Sep Average earnings mm (%) 0.0 0.3 0.4
8:30 Aug International trade mm $ (bl) -54.9 -54.5 -54.0
Monday, Oct 07
10:00 Sep Employment Trends 110.97 110.6
15:00 Aug Consumer credit (bl) 17.90 15.25 23.29
Tuesday, Oct 08
8:30 Sep Core Producer Prices YY (%) +2.0 2.3 2.3
8:30 Sep Producer Prices (%) -0.3 0.1 0.1
8:30 Sep Core Producer Prices MM (%) -0.3 0.2 0.3
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 38
Wednesday, Oct 09
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 574.5 553.8
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 252.2 263.8
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2418.1 2202.6
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.90 3.99
10:00 Aug Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.2 0.4 0.4
10:00 Aug Wholesale sales mm (%) 0.0 0.2 0.3
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 2.927 1.413 3.100
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 24
Thursday, Oct 10
8:30 Sep Core CPI (Annual) (%) 2.4 2.4 2.4
8:30 Sep Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) 0.0 0.1 0.1
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 210 214 219
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.684 1.653 1.651
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 16
Friday, Oct 11
8:30 Sep Import prices mm (%) 0.2 0.0 -0.5
8:30 Sep Export prices mm (%) -0.2 0.0 -0.6
10:00 Oct 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.8
10:00 Oct 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.2 2.4
10:00 Oct Consumer Sentiment 96.0 92.0 93.2
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Oct 14
8:30 Oct NY Fed Manufacturing 4.00 1.00 2.00
Tuesday, Oct 15
8:30 Oct NY Fed Manufacturing 1.00 2.00
Wednesday, Oct 16
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 585.5 574.5
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 250.6 252.2
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2505.8 2418.1
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.92 3.90
8:30 Sep Retail Sales (%) -0.3 0.3 0.4
10:00 Oct NAHB housing market indx 71 68 68
10:00 Aug Business Inventories (% ) 0.0 0.2 0.4
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 1.413 2.927
Thursday, Oct 17
8:30 Sep House starts mm: change (%) -9.4 12.3
8:30 Sep Build permits: change mm (%) -2.7 8.2
8:30 Sep Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.256 1.320 1.364
8:30 Sep Building permits: number (ml) 1.387 1.350 1.425
8:30 Oct Philly Fed Business Index 5.6 8.0 12.0
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 214 215 210
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.679 1.682 1.684
9:15 Sep Capacity Utilization (%) 77.5 77.7 77.9
9:15 Sep Industrial Production (%) -0.4 -0.1 0.6
11:00 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 9.281 2.878 2.927
13:00 5-Yr TIPS Auction (bl) 17
Friday, Oct 18
10:00 Sep Leading index chg mm (%) -0.1 0.1 -0.3
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Oct 22
10:00 Sep Existing home sales (ml) 5.45 5.49
10:00 Sep Exist. home sales % chg (%) -0.7 1.3
Wednesday, Oct 23
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 585.5
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 250.6
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2505.8
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.92
9:00 Aug Monthly Home Price yy (%) 5.0
9:00 Aug Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.4
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 2.878 9.281
Thursday, Oct 24
8:30 Sep Nondefense ex-air (%) -0.1 -0.4
8:30 Sep Durable goods (%) -0.7 0.2
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 215 214
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.675 1.679
9:45 Oct U Markit Mfg PMI Flash 50.7 51.1
9:45 Oct U Markit Svcs PMI Flash 50.9 50.9
9:45 Oct U Markit Comp Flash PMI 51.0
10:00 Sep New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.700 0.713
10:00 Sep New home sales chg mm (%) -0.5 7.1
Friday, Oct 25
10:00 Oct Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) 2.2
10:00 Oct Consumer Sentiment (ip) 96.0 96.0
10:00 Oct Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) 2.5

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