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Bonds Back Near Unchanged on Trump Tweet

It had been a super slow, slightly weaker morning for bonds.  A token amount of selling in the European session was about all we had to observe until the past 10 minutes when the following tweet came out:

2018-6-22 tweet

A new 20% tariff on any major import is, at first glance, an economically negative concern for financial markets.  In other words, the "downside" of the decision is more readily traded than any potential upside in the future because the downside is more immediate and easier to quantify.

As such, stocks have taken a quick hit and bond yields moved from 2.915 to 2.90% in fairly short order.  This is roughly unchanged on the day for Treasuries.  MBS are also unchanged in terms of Fannie 4.0 coupons.  They were down an eighth of a point at this morning's weakest levels.

MBS / Treasury Market Data

UMBS 5.0
99.37
+0.02
UMBS 5.5
100.76
+0.02
2 YR
3.9165
+0.0020
10 YR
3.9068
+0.0029
Pricing as of: 9/1 7:34PM EST
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