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Retail Sales Much Weaker. Bonds Rallying
  Mortgage Market Update
May 15, 2020 9:00 AM ET
  • Retail Sales (April)
    • -16.4% vs -12.0% forecast, -8.3% previously
  • NY Fed Empire State Index
    • -48.5 vs -78.2 previously

Bonds were already in moderately better shape heading into the day, largely following weakness in stocks beginning around 6:30am.  Everyone expects weak data.  Not only was this Retail Sales report weaker than expected, unlike a few other shockingly bad reports, there wasn't anything redeeming about this one.  Bonds have reacted by extending gains, and stocks are extending losses.

10yr yields are now down more than 2 bps at .593% and 2.0 UMBS are up more than an eighth of a point.

MBS / Treasury Market Data

UMBS 6.0
99.43
-0.62
UMBS 6.5
101.30
-0.42
10 YR
4.9860
+0.0952
Pricing as of: 11/10 5:59PM EST
This Mortgage Market Update is provided in partnership with MBS Live and provided exclusively to MBS Live Subcribers.

Average Mortgage Rates

Rate Change Points
30YR Fixed 7.30% +0.12 --
15YR Fixed 6.92% +0.09 --
30YR FHA 6.89% +0.07 --
30YR Jumbo 7.40% +0.03 --
7/6 SOFR 6.80% +0.31 --
30YR VA 6.90% +0.07 --
Source: Mortgage News Daily
Rate Change Points
30YR Fixed 7.30% +0.18 0.75
15YR Fixed 6.76% +0.33 0.98
30YR FHA 7.02% +0.24 1.07
30YR Jumbo 7.20% +0.05 0.48
7/6 SOFR 6.29% +0.19 1.00
Source: The Mortgage Bankers Association
Rate Change Points
30YR Fixed 7.18% +0.97 0.00
15YR Fixed 6.57% +1.10 0.00
Source: Freddie Mac

MBS and Treasury

Price / Yield Change
UMBS 6.0 99.43 --0.62
UMBS 6.5 101.30 --0.42
10 YR Treasury 4.986 +-0.73
30 YR Treasury 5.356 +-1.07
Pricing as of: 11/10 5:59PM EST

Recent Housing Data

Value Change
Mortgage Apps 192.6 -1.23%
Existing Home Sales 3.99M 0.25%
Builder Confidence 29 -9.38%
Building Permits 1.4M 0.43%
Housing Starts 1.22M -4.24%