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Slightly Weaker This Afternoon; Reprice Risk Considerations

If we're only considering MBS prices and rate sheet print times, there isn't more than a lender or two out there that could justify a negative reprice right now.  That said, both 2.0 and 2.5 UMBS 30yr coupons are at least an eighth of a point off their highs and Treasury yields look to have bottomed at noon sharp.  

While we haven't necessarily seen a major reversal since then, bonds haven't seemed eager or willing to push the pace of improvement.  For those of you who were already planning on locking today, this is a tough call.  On one hand, there's still a possibility that you'll see a positive reprice.  On the other hand, certain lenders are perhaps closer to considering negative reprices by the time they factor in new lock volume.  This would become more of a risk if this trend of weakness continues into the afternoon.

MBS / Treasury Market Data

UMBS 5.5
98.72
+0.25
UMBS 6.0
100.39
+0.19
UMBS 6.5
101.81
+0.11
2 YR
4.7163
-0.0249
10 YR
4.3602
-0.0724
Pricing as of: 7/3 5:59PM EST
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