- March Retail Sales -8.7 vs -8.0 forecast, -0.4 previously
- April NY Fed Manufacturing -78.2 vs -35.0 forecast, -21.5 previously
While it's not massive, the bond market is actually reacting to the data. 10yr yields were trading near 0.68% before the two releases and have moved down about 1.5bps since then. The fact that we're seeing a noticeable reaction at all is impressive. There were offsetting factors inside each report.
Retail Sales data was offset by the 'core' reading. Excluding autos, gas, building materials and food services, sales were actually up 1.7%. Excluding only gas and autos, the damage was a less staggering -3.1%.
New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Index was definitely a shocker, but so was the internal component measuring the outlook over 6 months. It rose to 7.0 from 1.2 last month.
MBS have done less with the data than Treasuries, but are also up on the day, trading at 104-00 since 8am.