- Enigmatic mini-rally in US bond markets linked to bigger rally in German Bunds
- Reminder: German Bunds are effectively THE "European bond market"
- Headlines relating to ECB may be contributing
- Given the
9:30am timing, domestic asset allocation could also be a factor - Nothing major for Treasuries/MBS, but has made for a small move into positive territory
Looking a bit deeper, however, we see German Bunds engaged in a much sharper rally, relatively. This may or may not have to do with a headline that was out just prior indicating that the German Parliament passed a resolution suggesting a split of ECB duties. No one really knows what that means, but it may mean something to traders considering a noticeable shift in trading positions in parts of the European bond market. (update,
Whatever the case, here's how it all looks in a chart. It's pretty obvious who is leading the charge: