Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Nov 16
8:30 Nov NY Fed Manufacturing 6.30 12.75 10.50
Tuesday, Nov 17
8:30 Oct Import prices mm (%) -0.1 0.2 0.3
8:30 Oct Export prices mm (%) 0.2 0.3 0.6
8:30 Oct Retail Sales (%) 0.3 0.5 1.9
9:15 Oct Industrial Production (%) 1.1 1.0 -0.6
10:00 Nov NAHB housing market indx 90 85 85
10:00 Sep Business Inventories (% ) 0.7 0.6 0.3
Wednesday, Nov 18
8:30 Oct House starts mm: change (%) 4.9 1.9
8:30 Oct Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.530 1.460 1.415
8:30 Oct Building permits: number (ml) 1.545 1.560 1.545
8:30 Oct Build permits: change mm (%) 0.0 4.7
Thursday, Nov 19
8:30 Nov Philly Fed Business Index 26.3 22.0 32.3
10:00 Oct Exist. home sales % chg (%) 4.3 -1.2 9.4
10:00 Oct Existing home sales (ml) 6.85 6.45 6.54
10:00 Oct Leading index chg mm (%) 0.7 0.7 0.7
Monday, Nov 23
9:45 Nov PMI-Composite (source:Markit) 57.9 56.3
9:45 Nov PMI-Manufacturing (Markit) 56.7 53.0 53.4
9:45 Nov PMI-Services (Markit) 57.7 55.0 56.9
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 56
13:00 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) 57
Tuesday, Nov 24
9:00 Sep CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 6.6 5.1 5.2
9:00 Sep Monthly Home Price yy (%) 9.1 8.0
9:00 Sep CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 1.3 0.7 0.5
9:00 Sep Monthly Home Price mm (%) 1.7 1.5
10:00 Nov Consumer confidence 96.1 98.0 100.9
13:00 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 24
13:00 7-Yr Note Auction (bl) 56
Wednesday, Nov 25
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 863.6 831.5
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 314.6 303.9
7:00 w/e MBA Refi Index 4077.7 3901.6
7:30 Sep Durable goods (%) 1.3 0.9 0.5
8:30 Q3 GDP Prelim (%) 33.1 33.2 33.1
8:30 Oct Core CapEx (%) 0.7 0.5 1.0
8:30 w/e Continued Claims (ml) 6.071 6.020 6.372
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 778 770 742
10:00 Oct Personal Income (%) -0.7 0.0 0.9
10:00 Oct Outlays (consumer spending) (%) 0.5 0.4 1.4
10:00 Oct Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.0 0.0 0.2
10:00 Oct Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 1.4 1.4 1.5
10:00 Oct New Home Sales (ml) 0.999 0.970 0.959
10:00 Nov Consumer Sentiment (ip) 76.9 77.0 77.0
10:00 Nov Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) 2.5 2.6
10:00 Nov Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) 2.8 2.8
10:00 Oct New Home Sales (%) (%) -0.3 1.5 -3.5
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -0.754 0.127 0.768
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Nov 30
9:45 Nov Chicago PMI 59.0 61.1
10:00 Oct Pending Sales Index 130.0
10:00 Oct Pending Home Sales (%) 1.0 -2.2
Tuesday, Dec 01
10:00 Oct Construction spending (%) 0.8 0.3
10:00 Nov ISM Manufacturing PMI 57.9 59.3
10:00 Nov ISM Mfg Prices Paid 60.0 65.5
Wednesday, Dec 02
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 314.6
7:00 w/e MBA Refi Index 4077.7
8:15 Nov ADP National Employment (k) 400 365
9:45 Nov ISM-New York index 814.8
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 0.127 -0.754
Thursday, Dec 03
7:30 Nov Challenger layoffs (k) 80.666
8:30 w/e Continued Claims (ml) 5.915 6.071
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 770 778
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 61.2
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg PMI 56.0 56.6
Friday, Dec 04
8:30 Nov Average earnings mm (%) 0.1 0.1
8:30 Nov Private Payrolls (k) 598 906
8:30 Nov Manufacturing payrolls (k) 40 38
8:30 Nov Non-farm payrolls (k) 500 638
8:30 Nov Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.8 34.8
8:30 Nov Unemployment rate mm (%) 6.8 6.9
8:30 Oct International trade mm $ (bl) -64.8 -63.9
10:00 Oct Factory orders mm (%) 0.8 1.1
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Dec 07
15:00 Oct Consumer credit (bl) 9.00 16.21
Tuesday, Dec 08
8:30 Q3 Labor Costs Revised (%) -8.8 -8.9
8:30 Q3 Productivity Revised (%) 4.9 4.9
Wednesday, Dec 09
10:00 Oct Wholesale inventories mm (%) -0.1 0.9
10:00 Oct Wholesale sales mm (%) 1.0 0.1
Thursday, Dec 10
8:30 Nov Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) 0.2 0.0
8:30 Nov Core CPI (Annual) (%) 1.8 1.6
14:00 Nov Federal budget, $ (bl) -274.50 -284.00
Friday, Dec 11
8:30 Nov Producer Prices (%) 0.2 0.3
8:30 Nov Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.2 0.1
8:30 Nov Core Producer Prices YY (%) 1.2 1.1
10:00 Dec 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.8
10:00 Dec Consumer Sentiment 77.0 76.9
10:00 Dec 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5

Event Importance:
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