Time |
Event |
Period |
Actual |
Forecast |
Prior |
Wednesday, Feb 10 |
8:30 |
Jan Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%)
|
Jan |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
8:30 |
Jan Core CPI (Annual) (%)
|
Jan |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
10:00 |
Dec Wholesale sales mm (%)
|
Dec |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
10:00 |
Dec Wholesale inventories mm (%)
|
Dec |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
14:00 |
Jan Federal budget, $ (bl) |
Jan |
-163 |
-150.00 |
-144.00 |
Friday, Feb 12 |
10:00 |
Feb Consumer Sentiment
|
Feb |
76.2 |
80.8 |
79.0 |
10:00 |
Feb 1yr Inflation Outlook (%)
|
Feb |
3.3 |
|
3.0 |
10:00 |
Feb 5yr Inflation Outlook (%)
|
Feb |
2.7 |
|
2.7 |
Tuesday, Feb 16 |
8:30 |
Feb NY Fed Manufacturing
|
Feb |
12.10 |
6.00 |
3.50 |
Wednesday, Feb 17 |
7:00 |
w/e MBA Purchase Index |
w/e |
299.5 |
|
318.8 |
7:00 |
w/e MBA Refi Index |
w/e |
4337.0 |
|
4549.2 |
8:30 |
Jan Retail Sales (%)
|
Jan |
5.3 |
1.1 |
-0.7 |
8:30 |
Jan Producer Prices (%)
|
Jan |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
8:30 |
Jan Core Producer Prices YY (%)
|
Jan |
2.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
8:30 |
Jan Core Producer Prices MM (%)
|
Jan |
1.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
9:15 |
Jan Industrial Production (%)
|
Jan |
0.9 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
10:00 |
Feb NAHB housing market indx
|
Feb |
84 |
83 |
83 |
10:00 |
Dec Business Inventories (% )
|
Dec |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
Thursday, Feb 18 |
8:30 |
Jan Export prices mm (%) |
Jan |
2.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
8:30 |
Jan Import prices mm (%) |
Jan |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
8:30 |
Jan Building permits: number (ml) |
Jan |
1.881 |
1.678 |
1.704 |
8:30 |
Jan Housing starts number mm (ml) |
Jan |
1.580 |
1.658 |
1.669 |
8:30 |
Feb Philly Fed Business Index
|
Feb |
23.1 |
20.0 |
26.5 |
8:30 |
Jan Build permits: change mm (%) |
Jan |
10.4 |
|
4.2 |
8:30 |
Jan House starts mm: change (%) |
Jan |
-6.0 |
|
5.8 |
8:30 |
w/e Jobless Claims (k)
|
w/e |
861 |
843 |
793 |
8:30 |
w/e Continued Claims (ml) |
w/e |
4.494 |
4.413 |
4.545 |
11:00 |
w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) |
w/e |
-7.258 |
-2.429 |
-6.644 |
13:00 |
30-Yr TIPS Auction (bl) |
|
9 |
|
|
Friday, Feb 19 |
9:45 |
Feb PMI-Manufacturing (Markit)
|
Feb |
58.5 |
58.5 |
59.2 |
9:45 |
Feb PMI-Services (Markit)
|
Feb |
58.9 |
57.6 |
58.3 |
9:45 |
Feb PMI-Composite (source:Markit)
|
Feb |
58.8 |
|
58.7 |
10:00 |
Jan Exist. home sales % chg (%)
|
Jan |
0.6 |
-1.5 |
0.7 |
10:00 |
Jan Existing home sales (ml)
|
Jan |
6.69 |
6.61 |
6.76 |
Time |
Event |
Period |
Actual |
Forecast |
Prior |
Monday, Feb 22 |
10:00 |
Jan Leading index chg mm (%)
|
Jan |
+0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
Tuesday, Feb 23 |
9:00 |
Dec CaseShiller 20 yy (% )
|
Dec |
+10.1 |
9.9 |
9.1 |
9:00 |
Dec CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) |
Dec |
+1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
9:00 |
Dec Monthly Home Price yy (%)
|
Dec |
+11.4 |
|
11.0 |
9:00 |
Dec Monthly Home Price mm (%) |
Dec |
+1.1 |
|
1.0 |
10:00 |
Feb Consumer confidence
|
Feb |
91.3 |
90.0 |
89.3 |
Wednesday, Feb 24 |
7:00 |
w/e MBA Purchase Index |
w/e |
264.9 |
|
299.5 |
7:00 |
w/e MBA Refi Index |
w/e |
3848.1 |
|
4337.0 |
10:00 |
Jan New Home Sales (%) (%)
|
Jan |
4.3 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
10:00 |
Jan New Home Sales (ml)
|
Jan |
0.923 |
0.855 |
0.842 |
10:30 |
w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) |
w/e |
1.285 |
-5.190 |
-7.258 |
13:00 |
5-Yr Note Auction (bl)
|
|
61 |
|
|
Thursday, Feb 25 |
8:30 |
Q4 GDP Prelim (%)
|
Q4 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
8:30 |
Jan Durable goods (%)
|
Jan |
3.4 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
8:30 |
Jan Core CapEx (%)
|
Jan |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
8:30 |
w/e Jobless Claims (k)
|
w/e |
730 |
838 |
861 |
8:30 |
w/e Continued Claims (ml) |
w/e |
4.419 |
4.467 |
4.494 |
10:00 |
Jan Pending Sales Index |
Jan |
122.8 |
|
125.5 |
10:00 |
Jan Pending Home Sales (%)
|
Jan |
-2.8 |
0.0 |
-0.3 |
13:00 |
7-Yr Note Auction (bl)
|
|
62 |
|
|
Friday, Feb 26 |
8:30 |
Jan Outlays (consumer spending) (%)
|
Jan |
|
2.5 |
-0.2 |
8:30 |
Jan Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%)
|
Jan |
|
1.4 |
1.5 |
9:45 |
Feb Chicago PMI
|
Feb |
|
61.1 |
63.8 |
10:00 |
Feb Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%)
|
Feb |
|
|
2.7 |
10:00 |
Feb Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%)
|
Feb |
|
|
3.3 |
10:00 |
Feb Consumer Sentiment (ip)
|
Feb |
|
76.5 |
76.2 |
Time |
Event |
Period |
Actual |
Forecast |
Prior |
Monday, Mar 01 |
10:00 |
Feb ISM Manufacturing PMI
|
Feb |
|
58.6 |
58.7 |
10:00 |
Feb ISM Mfg Prices Paid
|
Feb |
|
77.0 |
82.1 |
10:00 |
Jan Construction spending (%) |
Jan |
|
0.8 |
1.0 |
Tuesday, Mar 02 |
9:45 |
Feb ISM-New York index
|
Feb |
|
|
818.2 |
Wednesday, Mar 03 |
8:15 |
Feb ADP National Employment (k)
|
Feb |
|
125 |
174 |
10:00 |
Feb ISM N-Mfg PMI
|
Feb |
|
58.5 |
58.7 |
10:00 |
Feb ISM N-Mfg Bus Act
|
Feb |
|
57.3 |
59.9 |
Thursday, Mar 04 |
7:30 |
Feb Challenger layoffs (k) |
Feb |
|
|
79.552 |
8:30 |
Q4 Labor Costs Revised (%) |
Q4 |
|
6.6 |
6.8 |
8:30 |
Q4 Productivity Revised (%) |
Q4 |
|
-4.6 |
-4.8 |
10:00 |
Jan Factory orders mm (%) |
Jan |
|
1.0 |
1.1 |
Friday, Mar 05 |
8:30 |
Feb Private Payrolls (k)
|
Feb |
|
100 |
6 |
8:30 |
Feb Manufacturing payrolls (k)
|
Feb |
|
11 |
-10 |
8:30 |
Feb Non-farm payrolls (k)
|
Feb |
|
110 |
49 |
8:30 |
Feb Average workweek hrs (hr)
|
Feb |
|
34.9 |
35.0 |
8:30 |
Feb Unemployment rate mm (%)
|
Feb |
|
6.4 |
6.3 |
8:30 |
Jan International trade mm $ (bl)
|
Jan |
|
-65.8 |
-66.6 |
8:30 |
Feb Average earnings mm (%)
|
Feb |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
15:00 |
Jan Consumer credit (bl)
|
Jan |
|
12.00 |
9.73 |
Event Importance:
No Stars = Insignificant | Low | Moderate | Important | Very Important