Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Wednesday, Feb 10
8:30 Jan Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) 0.3 0.3 0.4
8:30 Jan Core CPI (Annual) (%) 1.4 1.5 1.6
10:00 Dec Wholesale sales mm (%) 1.2 0.5 0.2
10:00 Dec Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.3 0.1 0.1
14:00 Jan Federal budget, $ (bl) -163 -150.00 -144.00
Friday, Feb 12
10:00 Feb Consumer Sentiment 76.2 80.8 79.0
10:00 Feb 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 3.3 3.0
10:00 Feb 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.7 2.7
Tuesday, Feb 16
8:30 Feb NY Fed Manufacturing 12.10 6.00 3.50
Wednesday, Feb 17
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 299.5 318.8
7:00 w/e MBA Refi Index 4337.0 4549.2
8:30 Jan Retail Sales (%) 5.3 1.1 -0.7
8:30 Jan Producer Prices (%) 1.3 0.4 0.3
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices YY (%) 2.0 1.1 1.2
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices MM (%) 1.2 0.2 0.1
9:15 Jan Industrial Production (%) 0.9 0.5 1.6
10:00 Feb NAHB housing market indx 84 83 83
10:00 Dec Business Inventories (% ) 0.6 0.5 0.5
Thursday, Feb 18
8:30 Jan Export prices mm (%) 2.5 0.7 1.1
8:30 Jan Import prices mm (%) 1.4 1.0 0.9
8:30 Jan Building permits: number (ml) 1.881 1.678 1.704
8:30 Jan Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.580 1.658 1.669
8:30 Feb Philly Fed Business Index 23.1 20.0 26.5
8:30 Jan Build permits: change mm (%) 10.4 4.2
8:30 Jan House starts mm: change (%) -6.0 5.8
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 861 843 793
8:30 w/e Continued Claims (ml) 4.494 4.413 4.545
11:00 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -7.258 -2.429 -6.644
13:00 30-Yr TIPS Auction (bl) 9
Friday, Feb 19
9:45 Feb PMI-Manufacturing (Markit) 58.5 58.5 59.2
9:45 Feb PMI-Services (Markit) 58.9 57.6 58.3
9:45 Feb PMI-Composite (source:Markit) 58.8 58.7
10:00 Jan Exist. home sales % chg (%) 0.6 -1.5 0.7
10:00 Jan Existing home sales (ml) 6.69 6.61 6.76
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Feb 22
10:00 Jan Leading index chg mm (%) +0.5 0.5 0.3
Tuesday, Feb 23
9:00 Dec CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) +10.1 9.9 9.1
9:00 Dec CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) +1.3 1.3 1.4
9:00 Dec Monthly Home Price yy (%) +11.4 11.0
9:00 Dec Monthly Home Price mm (%) +1.1 1.0
10:00 Feb Consumer confidence 91.3 90.0 89.3
Wednesday, Feb 24
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 264.9 299.5
7:00 w/e MBA Refi Index 3848.1 4337.0
10:00 Jan New Home Sales (%) (%) 4.3 2.1 1.6
10:00 Jan New Home Sales (ml) 0.923 0.855 0.842
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 1.285 -5.190 -7.258
13:00 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) 61
Thursday, Feb 25
8:30 Q4 GDP Prelim (%) 4.1 4.2 4.0
8:30 Jan Durable goods (%) 3.4 1.1 0.5
8:30 Jan Core CapEx (%) 0.5 0.7 0.7
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 730 838 861
8:30 w/e Continued Claims (ml) 4.419 4.467 4.494
10:00 Jan Pending Sales Index 122.8 125.5
10:00 Jan Pending Home Sales (%) -2.8 0.0 -0.3
13:00 7-Yr Note Auction (bl) 62
Friday, Feb 26
8:30 Jan Outlays (consumer spending) (%) 2.5 -0.2
8:30 Jan Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 1.4 1.5
9:45 Feb Chicago PMI 61.1 63.8
10:00 Feb Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) 2.7
10:00 Feb Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) 3.3
10:00 Feb Consumer Sentiment (ip) 76.5 76.2
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Mar 01
10:00 Feb ISM Manufacturing PMI 58.6 58.7
10:00 Feb ISM Mfg Prices Paid 77.0 82.1
10:00 Jan Construction spending (%) 0.8 1.0
Tuesday, Mar 02
9:45 Feb ISM-New York index 818.2
Wednesday, Mar 03
8:15 Feb ADP National Employment (k) 125 174
10:00 Feb ISM N-Mfg PMI 58.5 58.7
10:00 Feb ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 57.3 59.9
Thursday, Mar 04
7:30 Feb Challenger layoffs (k) 79.552
8:30 Q4 Labor Costs Revised (%) 6.6 6.8
8:30 Q4 Productivity Revised (%) -4.6 -4.8
10:00 Jan Factory orders mm (%) 1.0 1.1
Friday, Mar 05
8:30 Feb Private Payrolls (k) 100 6
8:30 Feb Manufacturing payrolls (k) 11 -10
8:30 Feb Non-farm payrolls (k) 110 49
8:30 Feb Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.9 35.0
8:30 Feb Unemployment rate mm (%) 6.4 6.3
8:30 Jan International trade mm $ (bl) -65.8 -66.6
8:30 Feb Average earnings mm (%) 0.2 0.2
15:00 Jan Consumer credit (bl) 12.00 9.73

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