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Approaching Negative Reprice Risk for Some Lenders
  • Fannie 3.0s down 7 ticks on the day with 4 ticks (.125) from some rate sheet print times
  • Lenders who priced before the highs (near 10-1015am) are at relatively no risk 
  • Still, the trend is not our friend at the moment

It's been a volatile morning for bonds, but inside a fairly narrow range.  The timing of the volatility may catch a lender or two off guard as some of the later lenders put out rate sheets near the highest prices.  Fannie 3.0s are down 4 ticks from the time that those rate sheets came out (10am-1015am).

On a more qualitative note, bonds simply look like they're under pressure here--bouncing in line with yesterday's high yields and moving higher with stocks and oil.  The afternoon's 10yr auction doesn't advocate any speculative buying either.  Bottom line: negative reprices couldn't be ruled out completely for a few lenders.  Risks would be more pronounced if we lose another few ticks (Fannie 3.0s in the 101-28 area).

MBS / Treasury Market Data

UMBS 5.5
97.86
+0.36
UMBS 6.0
99.78
+0.32
UMBS 6.5
101.42
+0.34
2 YR
4.8808
+0.0071
10 YR
4.5666
-0.0129
Pricing as of: 5/3 6:31AM EST
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