Economic Calendar
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Jan 13 | |||||
| 10:00 | Dec Employment Trends | Dec | 109.7 | 110.2 | |
| 14:00 | Dec Federal budget, $ (bl) | Dec | -13.3 | -15.00 | -209.00 |
| Tuesday, Jan 14 | |||||
| 8:30 | Dec Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) | Dec | +0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| 8:30 | Dec Core CPI (Annual) (%) | Dec | +2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Wednesday, Jan 15 | |||||
| 8:30 | Dec Producer Prices (%) | Dec | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 8:30 | Dec Core Producer Prices MM (%) | Dec | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| 8:30 | Jan NY Fed Manufacturing | Jan | 4.80 | 3.55 | 3.50 |
| 8:30 | Dec Core Producer Prices YY (%) | Dec | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Thursday, Jan 16 | |||||
| 8:30 | Dec Retail Sales (%) | Dec | +0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 8:30 | Jan Philly Fed Business Index | Jan | 17.0 | 3.8 | 0.3 |
| 8:30 | Dec Import prices mm (%) | Dec | +0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 8:30 | Dec Export prices mm (%) | Dec | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 10:00 | Jan NAHB housing market indx | Jan | 75 | 75 | 76 |
| 10:00 | Nov Business Inventories (% ) | Nov | -0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 |
| Friday, Jan 17 | |||||
| 8:30 | Dec Build permits: change mm (%) | Dec | -3.9 | 0.9 | |
| 8:30 | Dec Housing starts number mm (ml) | Dec | 1.608 | 1.375 | 1.365 |
| 8:30 | Dec Building permits: number (ml) | Dec | 1.416 | 1.468 | 1.474 |
| 8:30 | Dec House starts mm: change (%) | Dec | 16.9 | 3.2 | |
| 9:15 | Dec Capacity Utilization (%) | Dec | 77.0 | 77.1 | 77.3 |
| 9:15 | Dec Industrial Production (%) | Dec | -0.3 | -0.2 | 1.1 |
| 10:00 | Jan Consumer Sentiment | Jan | 99.1 | 99.3 | 99.3 |
| 10:00 | Jan 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) | Jan | 2.5 | 2.3 | |
| 10:00 | Jan 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) | Jan | 2.5 | 2.2 | |
| Wednesday, Jan 22 | |||||
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Market Index | w/e | 606.2 | 613.6 | |
| 7:00 | w/e MBA Purchase Index | w/e | 297.8 | 303.9 | |
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Refinance Index | w/e | 2401.5 | 2444.7 | |
| 7:00 | w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) | w/e | 3.87 | 3.87 | |
| 9:00 | Nov Monthly Home Price yy (%) | Nov | 4.9 | 5.0 | |
| 9:00 | Nov Monthly Home Price mm (%) | Nov | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| 10:00 | Dec Existing home sales (ml) | Dec | 5.54 | 5.43 | 5.35 |
| 10:00 | Dec Exist. home sales % chg (%) | Dec | 3.6 | 1.3 | -1.7 |
| Thursday, Jan 23 | |||||
| 8:30 | w/e Jobless Claims (k) | w/e | 211 | 211 | 204 |
| 8:30 | w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) | w/e | 1.731 | 1.746 | 1.767 |
| 10:00 | Dec Leading index chg mm (%) | Dec | -0.3 | -0.2 | 0.0 |
| 11:00 | w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | w/e | -0.405 | -1.009 | -2.549 |
| 13:00 | 10-yr Note Auction (bl) | 14 | |||
| Friday, Jan 24 | |||||
| 9:45 | Jan PMI-Services (Markit) | Jan | 53.2 | 52.9 | 52.8 |
| 9:45 | Jan PMI-Composite (source:Markit) | Jan | 53.1 | 52.7 | |
| 9:45 | Jan PMI-Manufacturing (Markit) | Jan | 51.7 | 52.5 | 52.4 |
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Jan 27 | |||||
| 10:00 | Dec New home sales chg mm (%) | Dec | 1.5 | 1.3 | |
| 10:00 | Dec New home sales-units mm (ml) | Dec | 0.730 | 0.719 | |
| Tuesday, Jan 28 | |||||
| 8:30 | Dec Durable goods (%) | Dec | 0.5 | -2.1 | |
| 8:30 | Dec Nondefense ex-air (%) | Dec | 0.0 | 0.2 | |
| 9:00 | Nov CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) | Nov | 2.4 | 2.2 | |
| 9:00 | Nov CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) | Nov | 0.4 | 0.4 | |
| 10:00 | Jan Consumer confidence | Jan | 128.0 | 126.5 | |
| Wednesday, Jan 29 | |||||
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Market Index | w/e | 606.2 | ||
| 7:00 | w/e MBA Purchase Index | w/e | 297.8 | ||
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Refinance Index | w/e | 2401.5 | ||
| 7:00 | w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) | w/e | 3.87 | ||
| 10:00 | Dec Pending Sales Index | Dec | 108.5 | ||
| 10:00 | Dec Pending Home Sales (%) | Dec | 0.5 | 1.2 | |
| 10:30 | w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | w/e | -1.009 | -0.405 | |
| 14:00 | N/A FOMC rate decision (%) | N/A | 1.625 | 1.625 | |
| Thursday, Jan 30 | |||||
| 8:30 | Q4 GDP Advance (%) | Q4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | |
| 8:30 | w/e Jobless Claims (k) | w/e | 215 | 211 | |
| 8:30 | w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) | w/e | 1.746 | 1.731 | |
| Friday, Jan 31 | |||||
| 8:30 | Q4 Employment Wages qq (%) | Q4 | 0.9 | ||
| 8:30 | Q4 Employment costs (%) | Q4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | |
| 8:30 | Q4 Employment Benefits qq (%) | Q4 | 0.6 | ||
| 8:30 | Dec Personal Income (%) | Dec | 0.3 | 0.5 | |
| 8:30 | Dec Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) | Dec | 0.3 | 0.4 | |
| 8:30 | Dec PCE (y/y) (%) | Dec | 1.5 | ||
| 8:30 | Dec Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) | Dec | 1.6 | 1.6 | |
| 8:30 | Dec Core PCE (m/m) (%) | Dec | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| 9:45 | Jan Chicago PMI | Jan | 48.5 | 48.9 | |
| 10:00 | Jan Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) | Jan | 2.5 | ||
| 10:00 | Jan Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) | Jan | 2.5 | ||
| 10:00 | Jan Consumer Sentiment (ip) | Jan | 99.1 | 99.1 | |
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Feb 03 | |||||
| 9:00 | Jan ISM Manufacturing PMI | Jan | 47.8 | 47.2 | |
| 9:00 | Jan ISM Mfg Prices Paid | Jan | 47.5 | 51.7 | |
| 10:00 | Dec Construction spending (%) | Dec | 0.5 | 0.6 | |
| Tuesday, Feb 04 | |||||
| 9:45 | Jan ISM-New York index | Jan | 869.0 | ||
| 10:00 | Dec Factory orders mm (%) | Dec | 0.9 | -0.7 | |
| Wednesday, Feb 05 | |||||
| 8:15 | Jan ADP National Employment (k) | Jan | 160 | 202 | |
| 8:30 | Dec International trade mm $ (bl) | Dec | -44.6 | -43.1 | |
| 10:00 | Jan ISM N-Mfg PMI | Jan | 55.1 | 55.0 | |
| 10:00 | Jan ISM N-Mfg Bus Act | Jan | 52.0 | 57.2 | |
| Thursday, Feb 06 | |||||
| 7:30 | Jan Challenger layoffs (k) | Jan | 32.843 | ||
| 8:30 | Q4 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) | Q4 | 1.7 | 2.5 | |
| 8:30 | Q4 Productivity Preliminary (%) | Q4 | 1.2 | -0.2 | |
| Friday, Feb 07 | |||||
| 8:30 | Jan Average earnings mm (%) | Jan | 0.3 | 0.1 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Private Payrolls (k) | Jan | 150 | 139 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Non-farm payrolls (k) | Jan | 156 | 145 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Manufacturing payrolls (k) | Jan | -7 | -12 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Average workweek hrs (hr) | Jan | 34.4 | 34.3 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Unemployment rate mm (%) | Jan | 3.5 | 3.5 | |
| 10:00 | Dec Wholesale inventories mm (%) | Dec | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
| 10:00 | Dec Wholesale sales mm (%) | Dec | 0.2 | 1.5 | |
| 15:00 | Dec Consumer credit (bl) | Dec | 15.00 | 12.51 | |
Event Importance:
No Stars = Insignificant | Low | Moderate | Important | Very Important
