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Mortgage Rates Back to 3-Month Lows

Mortgage rates dropped to begin the holiday-shortened week as markets expressed a bit of panic over the coronavirus outbreak in China.  This is similar to the SARS outbreak in 2003, which certainly had an impact on both stocks and bonds.  While it's too soon to know if the new iteration of the disease will run a similar course, it's not too soon for markets to begin heading in that direction preemptively.

Specifically, fears surrounding the outbreak lead investors to expect commerce, in general, to take a hit.  Sure, the average person may not change their daily routine because of Coronavirus, but many will (and have).  A decrease in the level of commerce implies lower stock prices.  Simultaneously, investors can seek safe havens for their money in the sovereign bond market (such as US Treasuries). 

When investor demand for Treasuries increases, rates fall.  The mortgage-backed securities (MBS) that underlie mortgage rates are an indirect beneficiary as they tend to follow Treasuries at times like this, even though the magnitude is typically lower.

This unexpected surge of bond-buying demand (again, higher demand for bonds = lower rates, all other things being equal) brought the average mortgage lender back in line with their lowest rate offerings since early October. 

This Daily Mortgage Rate Update is provided in partnership with Mortgage News Daily.