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Mortgage Rates Higher, But Not Because Of The Fed

Mortgage rates were slightly higher today, but not because of the Fed.  Today brought a Fed policy announcement which can be quite a big deal for rates, depending on the particulars.  This time around, those particulars were almost exactly the same as the previous Fed statement.  Investors will sometimes read some significance into such an absence of change, but that wasn't a factor today.

Of far greater importance to rates was an update from the Treasury department that spelled out near-term borrowing plans.  Government spending is funded in large part by the issuance of Treasury debt.  The more debt issued, the greater the supply and Econ 101 tells us what happens when supply rises: prices fall!

While falling prices might sound like a good thing, in the case of Treasury debt, it means investors are paying less to buy bonds.  As bond prices decrease, yields--or interest rates--rise.  While Treasuries don't directly dictate mortgage rates, they are highly correlated.  In general, when 10yr Treasury yields are at long-term highs, mortgage rates will be able to make the same claim, or close to it.  With that in mind, both 10yr yields and mortgage rates hit their highest levels in more than 2 months today.  That said, the move was more apparent in Treasuries.  Mortgage rates just moved back up to Monday's levels, for the most part (which were 2-month highs at the time).

This Daily Mortgage Rate Update is provided in partnership with Mortgage News Daily.