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Negative Reprice Risk Increasing For Some Lenders

Bonds began the day in stronger territory.  The overnight session was uneventful to slightly stronger.  Early domestic buyers brought 10yr yields as low as 2.353 just before the 8am hour.  We've seen steady weakness ever since.

While yields aren't yet back to unchanged levels (still in slightly positive territory for now), MBS just ticked into negative territory on the day.  The discrepancy has to do with the shape of the yield curve where shorter-duration bonds are underperforming (and 3.5 MBS are slightly shorter duration than 10yr Treasuries).

The resulting weakness has Fannie 3.5s down roughly an eighth of a point from morning rate sheet print times for a few of the earliest lenders.  As such some of the jumpier lenders could already be considering a modest negative reprice, but that would become more likely if Fannie 3.5 prices fall to 102-23.

MBS / Treasury Market Data

UMBS 5.5
97.31
-0.31
UMBS 6.0
99.30
-0.29
UMBS 6.5
101.09
-0.20
2 YR
4.8999
-0.0895
10 YR
4.5275
-0.0990
Pricing as of: 4/18 9:41PM EST
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