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Bonds Move Toward Reprice Territory, but Trying to Find Footing

Any mention of "reprice risk" will only apply to the earliest and most aggressive lenders--those who priced at or before MBS prices were near their highs of the morning.  Since then, Fannie 3.0s were just down 5/32nds (now only 4/32nds), which is enough to be on the threshold of negative reprice risk.  Any further weakness would increase the risk more meaningfully. 

10yr yields are up 2bps on the day at 1.94.  Oil and stocks had been moving higher since 8:40.  One quick thought there: it's not uncommon to see the tone of morning selling in bonds change just after the 9:30am NYSE open.  The S&P is pulling back after surging a quick 6 points at the open, and yields have subsequently come off their highs. 

We're probably keeping negative reprice risk at bay here with these bounces, but that could change at a moment's notice.  The next potential source of inspiration is the 10am ISM Manufacturing Data

MBS / Treasury Market Data

UMBS 5.5
97.64
+0.16
UMBS 6.0
99.59
+0.12
UMBS 6.5
101.27
+0.12
2 YR
4.9385
-0.0285
10 YR
4.5886
-0.0209
Pricing as of: 4/23 11:52AM EST
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