Economic Calendar
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Feb 03 | |||||
| 10:00 | Jan ISM Manufacturing PMI | Jan | 50.9 | 48.5 | 47.2 |
| 10:00 | Jan ISM Mfg Prices Paid | Jan | 53.3 | 50.8 | 51.7 |
| 10:00 | Dec Construction spending (%) | Dec | -0.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Tuesday, Feb 04 | |||||
| 9:45 | Jan ISM-New York index | Jan | 866.9 | 869.0 | |
| 10:00 | Dec Factory orders mm (%) | Dec | 1.8 | 1.2 | -0.7 |
| Wednesday, Feb 05 | |||||
| 8:15 | Jan ADP National Employment (k) | Jan | 291 | 156 | 202 |
| 8:30 | Dec International trade mm $ (bl) | Dec | -48.9 | -48.2 | -43.1 |
| 10:00 | Jan ISM N-Mfg PMI | Jan | 55.5 | 55.0 | 55.0 |
| 10:00 | Jan ISM N-Mfg Bus Act | Jan | 60.9 | 56.5 | 57.2 |
| Thursday, Feb 06 | |||||
| 7:30 | Jan Challenger layoffs (k) | Jan | 67.735 | 32.843 | |
| 8:30 | Q4 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) | Q4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.5 |
| 8:30 | Q4 Productivity Preliminary (%) | Q4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | -0.2 |
| Friday, Feb 07 | |||||
| 8:30 | Jan Average earnings mm (%) | Jan | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 8:30 | Jan Private Payrolls (k) | Jan | 206 | 150 | 139 |
| 8:30 | Jan Non-farm payrolls (k) | Jan | 225 | 160 | 145 |
| 8:30 | Jan Manufacturing payrolls (k) | Jan | -12 | -5 | -12 |
| 8:30 | Jan Average workweek hrs (hr) | Jan | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.3 |
| 8:30 | Jan Unemployment rate mm (%) | Jan | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| 10:00 | Dec Wholesale inventories mm (%) | Dec | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| 10:00 | Dec Wholesale sales mm (%) | Dec | -0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5 |
| 15:00 | Dec Consumer credit (bl) | Dec | 22.06 | 15.00 | 12.51 |
| Monday, Feb 10 | |||||
| 10:00 | Jan Employment Trends | Jan | 110.24 | 109.7 | |
| Tuesday, Feb 11 | |||||
| 13:00 | 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 38 | |||
| Wednesday, Feb 12 | |||||
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Market Index | w/e | 689.5 | 682.0 | |
| 7:00 | w/e MBA Purchase Index | w/e | 267.4 | 283.8 | |
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Refinance Index | w/e | 3123.6 | 2975.7 | |
| 7:00 | w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) | w/e | 3.72 | 3.71 | |
| 10:30 | w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | w/e | 7.459 | 2.987 | 3.355 |
| 13:00 | 10-yr Note Auction (bl) | 27 | |||
| 14:00 | Jan Federal budget, $ (bl) | Jan | -33 | -11.50 | -13.30 |
| Thursday, Feb 13 | |||||
| 8:30 | Jan Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) | Jan | +0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 8:30 | Jan Core CPI (Annual) (%) | Jan | +2.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 8:30 | w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) | w/e | 1.698 | 1.745 | 1.751 |
| 8:30 | w/e Jobless Claims (k) | w/e | 205 | 210 | 202 |
| 13:00 | 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) | 19 | |||
| Friday, Feb 14 | |||||
| 8:30 | Jan Retail Sales (%) | Jan | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| 8:30 | Jan Export prices mm (%) | Jan | 0.7 | -0.1 | -0.2 |
| 8:30 | Jan Import prices mm (%) | Jan | 0.0 | -0.2 | 0.3 |
| 9:15 | Jan Capacity Utilization (%) | Jan | 76.8 | 76.8 | 77.0 |
| 9:15 | Jan Industrial Production (%) | Jan | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.3 |
| 10:00 | Feb 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) | Feb | 2.3 | 2.5 | |
| 10:00 | Feb Consumer Sentiment | Feb | 100.9 | 99.5 | 99.8 |
| 10:00 | Feb 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) | Feb | 2.5 | 2.5 | |
| 10:00 | Dec Business Inventories (% ) | Dec | +0.1 | 0.1 | -0.2 |
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, Feb 18 | |||||
| 8:30 | Feb NY Fed Manufacturing | Feb | 12.9 | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| 10:00 | Feb NAHB housing market indx | Feb | 74 | 75 | 75 |
| Wednesday, Feb 19 | |||||
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Market Index | w/e | 689.5 | ||
| 7:00 | w/e MBA Purchase Index | w/e | 267.4 | ||
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Refinance Index | w/e | 3123.6 | ||
| 7:00 | w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) | w/e | 3.72 | ||
| 8:30 | Jan Producer Prices (%) | Jan | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| 8:30 | Jan House starts mm: change (%) | Jan | 16.9 | ||
| 8:30 | Jan Core Producer Prices YY (%) | Jan | 1.3 | 1.1 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Core Producer Prices MM (%) | Jan | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Housing starts number mm (ml) | Jan | 1.425 | 1.608 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Build permits: change mm (%) | Jan | -3.7 | ||
| 8:30 | Jan Building permits: number (ml) | Jan | 1.450 | 1.420 | |
| Thursday, Feb 20 | |||||
| 8:30 | Feb Philly Fed Business Index | Feb | 12.0 | 17.0 | |
| 8:30 | w/e Jobless Claims (k) | w/e | 210 | 205 | |
| 8:30 | w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) | w/e | 1.720 | 1.698 | |
| 10:00 | Jan Leading index chg mm (%) | Jan | 0.4 | -0.3 | |
| 11:00 | w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | w/e | 3.767 | 7.459 | |
| Friday, Feb 21 | |||||
| 9:45 | Feb PMI-Manufacturing (Markit) | Feb | 51.5 | 51.9 | |
| 9:45 | Feb PMI-Composite (source:Markit) | Feb | 53.3 | ||
| 9:45 | Feb PMI-Services (Markit) | Feb | 53.0 | 53.4 | |
| 10:00 | Jan Existing home sales (ml) | Jan | 5.43 | 5.54 | |
| 10:00 | Jan Exist. home sales % chg (%) | Jan | -1.8 | 3.6 | |
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, Feb 25 | |||||
| 9:00 | Dec CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) | Dec | 2.4 | 2.6 | |
| 9:00 | Dec CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) | Dec | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 9:00 | Dec Monthly Home Price yy (%) | Dec | 4.9 | ||
| 9:00 | Dec Monthly Home Price mm (%) | Dec | 0.2 | ||
| 10:00 | Feb Consumer confidence | Feb | 132.4 | 131.6 | |
| Wednesday, Feb 26 | |||||
| 10:00 | Jan New home sales chg mm (%) | Jan | 1.5 | -0.4 | |
| 10:00 | Jan New home sales-units mm (ml) | Jan | 0.708 | 0.694 | |
| Thursday, Feb 27 | |||||
| 8:30 | Q4 GDP Prelim (%) | Q4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Durable goods (%) | Jan | -1.5 | 2.4 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Nondefense ex-air (%) | Jan | 0.0 | -0.8 | |
| 10:00 | Jan Pending Sales Index | Jan | 103.2 | ||
| 10:00 | Jan Pending Home Sales (%) | Jan | 2.0 | -4.9 | |
| Friday, Feb 28 | |||||
| 8:30 | Jan Personal Income (%) | Jan | 0.3 | 0.2 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) | Jan | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| 8:30 | Jan PCE (y/y) (%) | Jan | 1.6 | ||
| 8:30 | Jan Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) | Jan | 1.6 | 1.6 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Core PCE (m/m) (%) | Jan | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| 9:45 | Feb Chicago PMI | Feb | 45.8 | 42.9 | |
| 10:00 | Feb Consumer Sentiment (ip) | Feb | 100.5 | 100.9 | |
| 10:00 | Feb Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) | Feb | 2.5 | ||
| 10:00 | Feb Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) | Feb | 2.3 | ||
Event Importance:
No Stars = Insignificant | Low | Moderate | Important | Very Important
