Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Sep 03
10:00 Aug ISM Manufacturing PMI 49.1 51.1 51.2
10:00 Jul Construction spending (%) 0.1 0.3 -1.3
10:00 Aug ISM Mfg Prices Paid 46.0 45.8 45.1
Wednesday, Sep 04
8:30 Jul International trade mm $ (bl) -54.0 -53.5 -55.2
9:45 Aug ISM-New York index 879.0 878.8
Thursday, Sep 05
7:30 Aug Challenger layoffs (k) 53.480 38.845
8:15 Aug ADP National Employment (k) 195 149 156
8:30 Q2 Labor Costs Revised (%) 2.6 2.5 2.4
8:30 Q2 Productivity Revised (%) 2.3 2.2 2.3
10:00 Jul Factory orders mm (%) 1.4 1.0 0.6
10:00 Aug ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 61.5 53.3 53.1
10:00 Aug ISM N-Mfg PMI 56.4 54.0 53.7
Friday, Sep 06
8:30 Aug Average earnings mm (%) 0.4 0.3 0.3
8:30 Aug Private Payrolls (k) 96 150 148
8:30 Aug Manufacturing payrolls (k) 3 8 16
8:30 Aug Non-farm payrolls (k) 130 158 164
8:30 Aug Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.4 34.4 34.3
8:30 Aug Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.7 3.7 3.7
Monday, Sep 09
10:00 Aug Employment Trends 110.6 111.0
15:00 Jul Consumer credit (bl) 23.29 16.10 14.60
Tuesday, Sep 10
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 38
Wednesday, Sep 11
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 569.8 558.5
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 253.5 242.6
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2377.5 2367.2
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.82 3.87
8:30 Aug Core Producer Prices YY (%) 2.3 2.2 2.1
8:30 Aug Producer Prices (%) 0.1 0.0 0.2
8:30 Aug Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.3 0.2 -0.1
10:00 Jul Wholesale sales mm (%) 0.3 0.2 -0.3
10:00 Jul Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.2 0.2 0.2
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -6.912 -2.686 -4.771
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 24
Thursday, Sep 12
8:30 Aug Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) 0.1 0.1 0.3
8:30 Aug Core CPI (Annual) (%) 2.4 2.3 2.2
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 204 215 219
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.670 1.690 1.674
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 16
14:00 Aug Federal budget, $ (bl) -200.00 -195.00 -120.00
Friday, Sep 13
8:30 Aug Retail Sales (%) 0.4 0.2 0.7
8:30 Aug Export prices mm (%) -0.6 -0.2 0.2
8:30 Aug Import prices mm (%) -0.5 -0.4 0.2
10:00 Sep Consumer Sentiment 92.0 90.9 89.8
10:00 Sep 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.8 2.7
10:00 Sep 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.3 2.6
10:00 Jul Business Inventories (% ) 0.4 0.3 0.0
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Sep 16
8:30 Sep NY Fed Manufacturing 2.0 4.00 4.80
Tuesday, Sep 17
9:15 Aug Capacity Utilization (%) 77.9 77.6 77.5
9:15 Aug Industrial Production (%) +0.6 0.2 -0.2
10:00 Sep NAHB housing market indx 68 66 66
Wednesday, Sep 18
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 569.8
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 253.5
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2377.5
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.82
8:30 Aug House starts mm: change (%) -4.0
8:30 Aug Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.250 1.191
8:30 Aug Building permits: number (ml) 1.300 1.317
8:30 Aug Build permits: change mm (%) 6.9
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -2.496 -6.912
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 1.875 2.125
Thursday, Sep 19
8:30 Sep Philly Fed Business Index 11.0 16.8
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.672 1.670
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 213 204
10:00 Aug Existing home sales (ml) 5.37 5.42
10:00 Aug Exist. home sales % chg (%) -0.4 2.5
10:00 Aug Leading index chg mm (%) 0.1 0.5
13:00 10-yr TIPS (bl) 12
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Sep 24
9:00 Jul Monthly Home Price yy (%) 4.8
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 2.4 2.1
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.2 0.0
9:00 Jul Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.2
10:00 Sep Consumer confidence 133.0 135.1
Wednesday, Sep 25
10:00 Aug New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.645 0.635
10:00 Aug New home sales chg mm (%) -0.2 -12.8
Thursday, Sep 26
8:30 Q2 GDP Final (%) 2.0 2.0
10:00 Aug Pending Sales Index 105.6
10:00 Aug Pending Home Sales (%) 0.3 -2.5
Friday, Sep 27
8:30 Aug Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.3 0.6
8:30 Aug PCE (y/y) (%) 1.4
8:30 Aug Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.2 0.2
8:30 Aug Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 1.6 1.6
8:30 Aug Durable goods (%) -1.0 2.0
8:30 Aug Nondefense ex-air (%) -0.1 0.2
8:30 Aug Personal Income (%) 0.4 0.1
10:00 Sep Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) 2.8
10:00 Sep Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) 2.3
10:00 Sep Consumer Sentiment (ip) 92.1 92.0

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