Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Jan 13
10:00 Dec Employment Trends 109.7 110.2
14:00 Dec Federal budget, $ (bl) -13.3 -15.00 -209.00
Tuesday, Jan 14
8:30 Dec Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) +0.2 0.3 0.3
8:30 Dec Core CPI (Annual) (%) +2.3 2.3 2.3
Wednesday, Jan 15
8:30 Dec Producer Prices (%) 0.1 0.2 0.0
8:30 Dec Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.1 0.2 -0.2
8:30 Jan NY Fed Manufacturing 4.80 3.55 3.50
8:30 Dec Core Producer Prices YY (%) 1.1 1.3 1.3
Thursday, Jan 16
8:30 Dec Retail Sales (%) +0.3 0.3 0.2
8:30 Jan Philly Fed Business Index 17.0 3.8 0.3
8:30 Dec Import prices mm (%) +0.3 0.3 0.2
8:30 Dec Export prices mm (%) -0.2 0.2 0.2
10:00 Jan NAHB housing market indx 75 75 76
10:00 Nov Business Inventories (% ) -0.2 -0.1 0.2
Friday, Jan 17
8:30 Dec Build permits: change mm (%) -3.9 0.9
8:30 Dec Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.608 1.375 1.365
8:30 Dec Building permits: number (ml) 1.416 1.468 1.474
8:30 Dec House starts mm: change (%) 16.9 3.2
9:15 Dec Capacity Utilization (%) 77.0 77.1 77.3
9:15 Dec Industrial Production (%) -0.3 -0.2 1.1
10:00 Jan Consumer Sentiment 99.1 99.3 99.3
10:00 Jan 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.3
10:00 Jan 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.2
Wednesday, Jan 22
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 606.2 613.6
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 297.8 303.9
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2401.5 2444.7
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.87 3.87
9:00 Nov Monthly Home Price yy (%) 4.9 5.0
9:00 Nov Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.2 0.2
10:00 Dec Existing home sales (ml) 5.54 5.43 5.35
10:00 Dec Exist. home sales % chg (%) 3.6 1.3 -1.7
Thursday, Jan 23
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 211 211 204
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.731 1.746 1.767
10:00 Dec Leading index chg mm (%) -0.3 -0.2 0.0
11:00 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -0.405 -1.009 -2.549
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 14
Friday, Jan 24
9:45 Jan PMI-Services (Markit) 53.2 52.9 52.8
9:45 Jan PMI-Composite (source:Markit) 53.1 52.7
9:45 Jan PMI-Manufacturing (Markit) 51.7 52.5 52.4
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Jan 27
10:00 Dec New home sales chg mm (%) 1.5 1.3
10:00 Dec New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.730 0.719
Tuesday, Jan 28
8:30 Dec Durable goods (%) 0.5 -2.1
8:30 Dec Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.0 0.2
9:00 Nov CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 2.4 2.2
9:00 Nov CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.4 0.4
10:00 Jan Consumer confidence 128.0 126.5
Wednesday, Jan 29
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 606.2
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 297.8
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2401.5
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.87
10:00 Dec Pending Sales Index 108.5
10:00 Dec Pending Home Sales (%) 0.5 1.2
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -1.009 -0.405
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 1.625 1.625
Thursday, Jan 30
8:30 Q4 GDP Advance (%) 2.1 2.1
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 215 211
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.746 1.731
Friday, Jan 31
8:30 Q4 Employment Wages qq (%) 0.9
8:30 Q4 Employment costs (%) 0.7 0.7
8:30 Q4 Employment Benefits qq (%) 0.6
8:30 Dec Personal Income (%) 0.3 0.5
8:30 Dec Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.3 0.4
8:30 Dec PCE (y/y) (%) 1.5
8:30 Dec Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 1.6 1.6
8:30 Dec Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.1 0.1
9:45 Jan Chicago PMI 48.5 48.9
10:00 Jan Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) 2.5
10:00 Jan Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) 2.5
10:00 Jan Consumer Sentiment (ip) 99.1 99.1
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Feb 03
9:00 Jan ISM Manufacturing PMI 47.8 47.2
9:00 Jan ISM Mfg Prices Paid 47.5 51.7
10:00 Dec Construction spending (%) 0.5 0.6
Tuesday, Feb 04
9:45 Jan ISM-New York index 869.0
10:00 Dec Factory orders mm (%) 0.9 -0.7
Wednesday, Feb 05
8:15 Jan ADP National Employment (k) 160 202
8:30 Dec International trade mm $ (bl) -44.6 -43.1
10:00 Jan ISM N-Mfg PMI 55.1 55.0
10:00 Jan ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 52.0 57.2
Thursday, Feb 06
7:30 Jan Challenger layoffs (k) 32.843
8:30 Q4 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) 1.7 2.5
8:30 Q4 Productivity Preliminary (%) 1.2 -0.2
Friday, Feb 07
8:30 Jan Average earnings mm (%) 0.3 0.1
8:30 Jan Private Payrolls (k) 150 139
8:30 Jan Non-farm payrolls (k) 156 145
8:30 Jan Manufacturing payrolls (k) -7 -12
8:30 Jan Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.4 34.3
8:30 Jan Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.5 3.5
10:00 Dec Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.1 0.0
10:00 Dec Wholesale sales mm (%) 0.2 1.5
15:00 Dec Consumer credit (bl) 15.00 12.51

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